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  • saketkapur
    06-09 06:35 PM
    http://imminfo.com/Newsletter/2009-AILA/Likely_visa_bulletin_cutoff_date_movement.html




    Likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement


    Information provided at the 2009 AILA Annual Conference gives us some insight into likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement over the next year. Historically, the INS/CIS have treated filing backlog information as a matter of national security - refusing to release any information. Recently, however, cracks have started to appear in that wall.

    We know that the 2007 filing surge resulted in an enormous number of cases submitted to the CIS. The actual number of new I-485s filed is unknown, but estimates range from 350,000 to 500,000. We also know that the CIS, having the fear of God put into them by the State Department in 2007, finally increased their level of production and began adjudicating cases at a pace sufficient to use up each year's quota and not waste any allocated visa numbers through non-use.

    At this year's conference, the CIS representatives made several statements which, if true, give us hope for a return to sanity soon. They alleged that they have completed enough EB I-485 cases this year to exhaust the EB quota (140,000). They also alleged that they will soon have completed the "pre-adjudication" of another "110,000 to 120,000" cases to be used against the quota for the next fiscal year (Oct. 1, 2009 - Sept. 30, 2010). Finally, they represented that these adjudication would "pretty much exhaust" the inventory of pending EB I-485 cases at the TSC and NSC.

    If these statements are true, then the end of the current mess is in sight.
    If the CIS really has wiped out its processing backlog, then when the "pre-adjudicated" cases are given visa numbers in the next fiscal year, cutoff dates should advance rapidly. At a minimum, we should see them return to February 2007 levels, if not closer.

    Implicit in this recital of statistics by the CIS personnel is the likelihood that they denied a truly massive number of pending I-485 applications. Before anyone panics, those denials should have been sent out already and are not out there just waiting to ruin someone's day. Only by assuming a very large number of denials does the math make any sense. Without them, you cannot reconcile the large volume of filings with the volume of approvals.
    Once these pending cases are closed out, the known "demand" for EB visas will be much smaller and the Visa Office will be able to move priority dates up quickly; in some cases by years.

    Another factor to be taken into account is the number of people who have lost their jobs between August 17, 2007 and whenever the cutoff dates cross that chronological line again. In years past, if there were 100,000 applicants with priority dates between August, 2007 and today, we could expect to see at least 90,000 applications. Today, with the economy being what it is, I think the figure is probably closer to 50,000. These are all people who were not eligible for AC21 because they had not filed for adjustment of status. If true, this means that cutoff dates will advance more rapidly than normal after the "2007 deluge" cases are resolved.

    Of course, all of this becomes academic if CIR is passed. In that case, all priority dates will become "current" overnight and remain that way for years.
    The State Department official at the AILA conference said that we can likely expect to see the following cutoff dates in the October, 2009 Visa Bulletin:

    EB2 Worldwide: Current
    EB2 China and India: Outlook is "grim" and there may be further retrogressions until later in the fiscal year.
    EB3 Worldwide: June 1, 2005
    EB3 China: March 1, 2003
    EB3 India: November 1, 2001
    EB3 Mexico: March 1, 2003

    These estimates are just that - estimates. They are, however, estimates from the Department of State.

    Where numbers move after October 1st will depend entirely upon the demand presented by the CIS. If, in fact, they have pre-adjudicated as many as 120,000 EB AOS cases, then it is unlikely that we will see much additional forward movement until the fourth quarter of the fiscal year (July - Sept., 2010). As discussed previously, however, once we get over this large bump in the road next year, we can expect to see a rapid advance in cutoff date movement.



    Copyright � 2009 The Gotcher Law Group, PC - All Rights Reserved





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  • satish_hello
    10-02 10:09 PM
    EB2 , I-140 approved @Nsc.





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  • Jaime
    05-27 09:06 PM
    Gianik:

    Please feel free to send me a private message or email me at jaimemrm2002@yahoo.com and I will be glad to help you as much as I can with immigration to Canada.

    Actually, immigrating to Canada is quite simple if you are the right person that they are looking for (and from the qualifications that you described you are, trust me). Canada has a very low natality rate and their strategy is to grow through immigration. Canada is the 2nd largest country in the world after Russia, but it only has over 30 millio inhabitants. They are admitting roughly 250,000 new immigrants a year.

    The first step is to take the eligibility test, which if you pass, it means that pretty much you are in (the rest is just paperwork). You can take the assesment online (as well as find a lot of information) on the CIC ("Citizenship and Immigration Canada) website at:

    http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/skilled/assess/index.html

    Many people use Canadian immigration attorneys to file their petitions, but you don't really need one (I started with oe and then fired them when I saw the process was so simple!)

    After that they will as you for: police reports, a medical exam, to take the IELTS English test, etc. Finally, they will send you a passport request (it all takes at the most 1 year) and they will stamp your and your family's immigrant visas on your passports. The you have a year from the date of your medical exams to go to Canada and finalize the paperwork at the port of entry (land, air or sea port) and that's it.

    What's really nice is that if you want/need to you can keep your U.S. job for up to 3 full years after becoming a Canadian permaent resident before you are required to actually move to Canada, which gives you great flexibility.

    The CIC website is your best tool (you are even be able to track your case on there). Also, visit the Canadian Embassy's website of your country of origin for ay special instructions. Let me know if you have any questions. Thanks!





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  • sandy_anand
    06-19 11:59 AM
    Thank you Snathan for taking initiative on this issue. This is a genuine issue affecting all of us who are still on a H1 visa. I completely support this.



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  • diqingshen
    01-31 01:36 PM
    U.S. Proposes Rise in Immigration Fees (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/30/AR2007013001762.html).


    By SUZANNE GAMBOA
    The Associated Press
    Wednesday, January 31, 2007; 2:47 AM

    WASHINGTON -- Becoming an American citizen could soon cost almost twice as much.

    The Bush administration will propose nearly doubling the fee charged applicants for U.S. citizenship and significantly increasing fees for other immigration benefits, congressional and administration officials said Tuesday.

    Fees for a wide variety of immigration services would rise an average of 66 percent, said two government officials who did not want to be named in advance of the administration's formal announcement of the proposal Wednesday.

    The current fee of $330 to apply for citizenship would rise to slightly less than $600, an administration official said. Other fee increases are possible for green cards conveying legal residency, which now cost $325.

    Applicants also now pay a $70 fingerprinting fee in each case. Fees also are paid for things such as work permits, replacing lost green cards and petitions to adopt orphans from other countries.

    The proposed fee increases would not be final until after a public comment period.

    Congressional Democrats last week warned in a letter to Emilio Gonzalez, director of the Homeland Security Department's Citizenship and Immigration Services, that they planned to review the agency's analyses behind any proposed immigration fee increases.

    The letter was signed by Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., immigration subcommittee chairman Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., House Judiciary Committee Chairman John Conyers, D-Mich., and immigration subcommittee chairwoman Rep. Zoe Lofgren, D-Calif.

    Immigration advocates have been bracing for the expected jump in fees. William Ramos, Washington director for the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials, said the increases are "just going to be devastating to our communities."

    "It will basically create another obstacle for those who want to realize their dream of becoming American citizens," Ramos said.

    Citizenship and Immigration Services covers its costs with application fees. The agency is required to do a fee analysis every two years to determine whether money raised from fees is covering costs. The agency last raised its fees in 2004, citing the cost of more intense background checks in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.

    Immigrant advocates long have argued that the agency's costs cannot be absorbed by application fees. They want Congress to appropriate money to help pay costs.

    Large fee increases would be heavily felt in the Asian community, where two-thirds of the population in the U.S. is foreign-born, said Traci Hong, director of the immigration program for the Asian American Justice Center.

    About 70 percent of foreign-born Asians in the country become American citizens, a high rate for immigrants. Hong worried that higher naturalization fees would slow that rate.


    Also I heard a rumor that they are going to allow filing of i-485 for review first and then let you wait for the visa number. Hope it is true!





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  • Macaca
    09-03 08:38 AM
    over the next over the next 75 years, new legal immigrants entering the United States will provide a net benefit of $611 billion in present value to America�s Social Security system, according to official Social Security Administration data.

    Over 50 years, new legal immigrants entering the United States will provide a net benefit of $506 billion in present value to America�s Social Security system.
    The 2004 Trustees Report, utilizing the intermediate projections, assumes an annual level of 800,000 legal immigrants and 200,000 emigrants (people who leave the U.S. legal immigrant population) for a net level of 600,000 per year. The Trustees Report also assumes a net level of 300,000 annually for �other immigration� (illegal immigration).
    The average age for those settling here as part of this �other immigration� each year is 21 years for men and 22 years for women, which is younger than for legal immigrants. The SSA�s Chief Actuary Office analysis discussed here assumed no change in illegal immigration, though it notes that it is possible that illegal immigration could increase in response to legal immigration cutbacks, which could �partly offset� the negative effect of legal immigration reductions.

    Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Alan Greenspan has pointed out the important role that immigration can play in addressing Social Security. In February 2003 testimony before the Senate Special Committee on Aging, Greenspan stated, �The aging of the population in the United States will have significant effects on our fiscal situation. In particular it makes our Social Security and Medicare programs unsustainable in the longrun, short of a major increase in immigration rates, a dramatic acceleration in productivity growth well beyond historical experience, a significant increase in the age of eligibility for benefits, or the use of general revenues to fund benefits.�
    More recently, Chairman Greenspan noted the advantageous position of the United States versus the more rapidly aging populations of Europe and Japan. While between 2000 and 2030 the number of working age adults will decline in Italy (-19%), Japan (-15.8%), and Germany (-15.1%), the working age adult population will increase by 18.9% in the United States over that period due primarily to immigration. In concluding his August 27, 2004 speech at a symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Greenspan said, �Aside from the comparatively lesser depth of required adjustment, our open labor markets should respond more easily to the changing needs and abilities of our population; our capital markets should allow for the creation and rapid adoption of new labor-saving technologies, and our open society should be receptive to immigrants. These supports should help us adjust to the inexorabilities of an aging population. Nonetheless, tough policy choices lie ahead.�



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  • arc
    10-04 11:23 AM
    Did anyone transferred from NSC to CSC and back got FP notice?





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  • delhirocks
    07-15 05:42 PM
    Section 245(i) is a part of the INA. In 2001, this section was updated to allow people present illegally to submit a labor certification. This resulted in the DOL getting 6 years worth of applications in April 2001. These applications led to the establishment of the Backlog Elimination Centers and the PERM process. The applications filed 6 years ago are still being processed by the DOL..

    That sucks..Thanks for the explanation


    At this point I am neutral on the DREAM act. Before I can support the DREAM act you need to prove how it helps children of legal immigrants. I suspect there is more to your story than you are letting on. If you are 21 now, you would have been 19 in 2005 and well able to understand the consequences of becoming an illegal immigrant. As someone said the F1 was an option if you wanted to maintain legal status.

    Iam in the very same position. I do not have kids and thus do little research on the acts pertaining to this situation. But I am all for doing my part, if someone can explain and provide relevant links on how this will impact the EB community. I have no qualms in admitting that Iam in IV only to support the EB cause (it also helps me). I do not want IV to take up a cause that will have a dilutive effect on EB cause.



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  • raydhan
    04-01 04:31 PM
    Sent Fax# 10





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  • chanduv23
    07-10 08:23 AM
    The way I look at it is - Loo is a target we must aim. CNN will definitely change its course and path it is taking if we start exposing Loo Dog. Once truth comes out, CNN may be worried about hurting its image and will definitely change courses.

    Believe me guys, CNN is still the most powerful media around, every airport, cafe etc. have only CNN running, CNN.com

    I am sure it is worth a try



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  • smuggymba
    01-25 03:41 PM
    Who joins a university with this accreditation:

    Tri-Valley University is accredited by International Association of Bible Colleges and Seminaries (IABCS).





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  • rolrblade
    07-19 10:35 AM
    Just so you dont miss this. I also PM'ed you.

    I just checked the Mumbai consulate website (I am assuming your wife is in India) and the earliest available appoitment for H4 is July 27th. Why cant she take that? All you have to do is reschedule.

    There are also appointments for H4 for Aug 3,6,8,10. She shoudl reschedule her appointment.

    Send me a PM if you need help with the appoitment website.



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  • thamizhan
    07-19 09:54 AM
    This is not the case for me....but during a discussion with my attorney and other friends contacts they said if you do not attach the medicals now you may get RFE at a later stage...which you can resolve it.

    I bet any RFE can be articulated with reason by attorney if they are smart enough.

    This is something I heard...but do not hold me on that. Please check with your attorney too and make a decesion.





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  • immig4me
    11-03 11:52 AM
    Dug the hole for 8 years, expect prosperity in 18 months!!!!

    we can argue both ways, democratic party was not rejected because of the economic mess, even today lot of voters are angry at bush for the mess, the issue here is WH is completely out of touch with the main street, why spend 2 years on health care when ppl dont have jobs to afford basic necessities, the less we talk about stimulus the better, ppl dont like someone who don't listen and arrogantly say what ever they do is for the good without showing any progress (hmmm, reminds me of bush but hell dint we vote for change?) or say voters are ignorant,

    bush is not the whole problem, democrats are in the majority since 2006 and look at the deficits since then, wars costed US trillion dollars which is less than annual deficits under the current president, i agree he does not own the deficit problem completely but he dint help to fix it either, bush dint sign "glass-seagall" act which caused the whole mess in the first place, clinton was the one who pushed the initiative "housing to minorities" and his administration wanted to push it through freddie and fannie and the rest is history,

    point is demonizing one of the parties is not going to help, both contributed to the mess and neither of them has bigger share

    You are missing the point! Vedicman is presenting the case that expecting things to be on the upswing in 18 months is not realstic!

    As for what this administration has done read Lincoln Mitchell: What Really Happened Tuesday Night (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lincoln-mitchell/what-really-happened-last_b_778052.html).

    On a second note, it is easy to sit in any position and criticize the president (this applies to bush too) however, what this president is doing is far better in the long run for this country (if we decide to stay) than any other potential candidates.....

    Also saw your wish of Obama loosing in 2012 - assuming he ran and his opponent will either be Sarah Palin or Newt Gingrich - just thinking of it gives me shivers! chills! cold! cough! and high fever! (if not more) I urge you to think twice before you wish for something.

    This is all politics....lets forget that....everyone in this forum are in the same boat and the fact is for our issues we need both houses of congress and parties to support - so lets work on it.



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  • JA1HIND
    01-26 04:59 PM
    Hi,

    "Employee acknowledges that the Company may invest significant sums to train and educate Employee and the Company’s investment in Employee would be jeopardized if Employee were to leave the company’s employment prior to the Company’s receipt of the benefits of such training and education. Employee hereby agrees to refund to the Company all amounts expended by the Company in the immediately preceding 12 months for education or training of the Employee if Employee resigns from the employment with the Company or is terminated by the Company for gross neglect of duty, material breach of the Letter or this Agreement or conviction or plea of guilty or no contests to a felony. Employee authorizes the Company to deduct and withhold such payment in full from any compensation or other amounts otherwise owed or payable to Employee. The payments will be due within 30 days of termination of the employment."

    Bottom line, once you sign in legal terms you are agreeing to the company terms & conditions...as I highlighted above, its pretty clear that if you leave before the set time frame you will be responsible for paying them back!!





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  • jungalee43
    06-24 07:33 PM
    First of all congratulations on arriving at a mile stone. But obviously it is not end of the journey.
    It is also not a time to say "thanks and good bye" to IV. Consider the fact that IV has done a lot for us, at least by making Congress aware of our plight and giving the anti immigrationist some run for their money and at times making their heartbit to skip. It is a different matter whether we got the law passed to address our problem, we may not have that much power; a simple fact is that we do not have voting power and Indian-American or Chinese-American community is not 100% behind us.
    But in times like this at least members like you should not leave IV. Then those who have made the dates temporarily current to divide us have just achieved their goals. Anti immigrationist and the writers of the senate amnesty for illegal aliens bill would smile after reading your post. In fact you should announce a one time donation to IV to celebrate your milestone and pledge your continuing support to IV.

    Thanks.

    ___________________________
    Donation $500+ and continuing



    Guys Got approved today morning........... Thanks to everyone on this forum for infinite information........... Will be back when ready for the Citizenship application..................:D

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    *** DO NOT RESPOND TO THIS E-MAIL ***

    The last processing action taken on your case

    Receipt Number: LIN0XXXXXXXX

    Application Type: I485 , APPLICATION TO REGISTER PERMANENT RESIDENCE OR TO ADJUST STATUS

    Current Status: Notice mailed welcoming the new permanent resident.

    On June 19, 2007, we mailed you a notice that we had registered this customer's new permanent resident status. Please follow any instructions on the notice. Your new permanent resident card should be mailed within 60 days following this registration or after you complete any ADIT processing referred to in the welcome notice, whichever is later. If you move before you get your new card call customer service. You can also receive automatic e-mail updates as we process your case. Just follow the link below to register.

    If you have questions or concerns about your application or the case status results listed above, or if you have not received a decision from USCIS within the current processing time listed*, please contact USCIS Customer Service at (800) 375-5283.

    *Current processing times can be found on the USCIS website at www.uscis.gov under Case Status and Processing Dates.
    *** Please do not respond to this e-mail message.

    Sincerely,
    The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS)
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PD- Dec 2002, I485-RD- Dec 2003.



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  • mybid2003
    11-10 10:59 AM
    Mybid2003,

    If your case is filed by lawyer, then your lawyer will also receive a copy of your FP Notices. So you may want to contact your lawyer and see if he got it?

    Yes. I did check with my lawyer. She didn't receive yet. :confused:





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  • ireddy
    05-31 10:58 AM
    Done





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  • seeking_GC
    11-05 01:12 AM
    If you look at the pending data by USCIS, there is a huge bump >4K in March 2005 so for Eb2I to cross that will be a significant milestone.





    swadeshi
    08-31 06:26 PM
    I have approached Times of India, Rediff and NDTV to have some coverage for this event. I guess the more coverage we will get the more people will respond.

    How was the response? I have contacted the following " The Hindu, Deccan chronicle and some telugu and kannada newspapers and TV news channels" so far no responses, I am planning to speak to my dad and his friends (they retired from the news media recently) to get some responses, but whats the point. The July 2nd fiasco was very well publicized in India, rural India too, even a small village or mandal office issuing birth certificates knew abt the visa bulletin and its reversal!!! and what do we have now...non committal friends who are not interested to come to the rally and some even make fun of it!!

    Anyways lets keep trying...





    sunty
    12-01 12:19 PM
    Just my 2 cents, but I think the quarterly spillover might not happen (Hope I am wrong) for various reasons...

    1. If they do quarterly spillovers allocating the left over EB1 to other categories, then it is theoretically possible in the last quarter that, if there is a surge in EB1 applications, CIS might be left with not enough visa numbers for EB1 , and subsequently EB1 might not reach the 28% (or whatever this number) of total employment GCs. This situation will further compound the problem for CIS...Given the situation, this might not be practical, but theoretically possible...So CIS might be thinking, "why have the headache to deal every quarter when the numbers will be clear in the last quarter"

    2. Since the spillover also includes Family based to EB, this even more complicates the above issue.

    3. Well, administratively it is easy for CIS to issue the spillover visas once at the end of the year, rather than do 4 times a year at the end of each quarter. I guess less work with the same result...


    So, in essence USCIS/DOS are allowed to bend the law since there workloads would increase and their systems are not sophisticated enough to implement this. I guess there is no point in raising this issue anymore...:(